Online brokerage tastytrade today launched Prediction Markets.

Powered by Apex Fintech Solutions and available 24/7, it turns a view on the number, the decision, or the result into a single, defined-risk trade that settles right next to stocks, options, and futures. tastytrade is the first brokerage to launch on Apex’s turnkey FCM infrastructure.

Prediction Markets is a CFTC-regulated offering and fully integrated into the tastytrade platform, so customers can seamlessly trade event contracts in a segregated account alongside their existing positions in a single, unified view. Contracts resolve to a straightforward yes-or-no outcome, with pricing that reflects real-time probabilities. The result is a trading experience built for how active traders think: fast, focused, and driven by catalysts, not just price charts.

tastytrade Prediction Markets launches with a catalog built around the catalysts active traders monitor such as major equity indices; Treasury yields; the VIX, and the U.S. dollar; Fed, ECB, BoE, and BoJ rate decisions; headline inflation, jobs, and growth prints (CPI, PCE, nonfarm payrolls, GDP, ISM); leading crypto including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP; and the most-traded energy and metals products like crude, natural gas, gold, silver, and copper.

Contracts trade across timeframes from hourly to yearly, giving traders the flexibility to take a position when it matters most.

“Customer demand for simple, directional trades is accelerating, and we built Prediction Markets for the way active traders already think. We focused it on the catalysts our customers already trade: the Fed, the inflation print, the VIX, crude, crypto,” said Pete Mulmat, Head of Brokerage, tastytrade/IGNA. “Most markets make you trade around the outcome and wait for the news to get interpreted. This flips it. If you have a view on the number, the decision, or the result, you trade the event, not the reaction, with defined risk, a clear payoff, no complex strategies, and 24/7 access including the evenings and weekends when traditional markets are closed.”

“tastytrade has one of the most engaged, sophisticated trading communities anywhere, and we built this to live right inside the platform they already use,” said Travis McGhee, Global Head of Digital Markets at Apex Fintech Solutions. “Apex’s turnkey FCM infrastructure helps firms like tastytrade offer prediction markets and get to market faster without building FCM technology or connecting to exchanges from scratch. We’re proud to have tastytrade as the first firm live on Apex’s FCM infrastructure.”